Lagarto vs Jacuipense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.6%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
47.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lagarto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2022 |
JAC
2 - 2
LAG
56%
26%
18%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
LAG
2 - 0
SDJ
23%
26%
51%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | +2 |
| 12 May. 2022 |
SER
0 - 0
LAG
54%
25%
22%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
LAG
4 - 0
ASA
30%
27%
43%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | +2 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
LAG
3 - 3
CSE
36%
29%
35%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Jacuipense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2022 |
JAC
2 - 2
LAG
56%
26%
18%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
ASA
1 - 1
JAC
23%
25%
52%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
JAC
2 - 0
SAN
42%
29%
29%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +2 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
JAC
1 - 2
SDJ
40%
28%
32%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
ALA
0 - 1
JAC
43%
27%
30%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |