Lagarto vs Itabaiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
41.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lagarto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
LAG
4 - 0
AMA
40%
24%
36%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
SOC
0 - 3
LAG
46%
24%
30%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | +2 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 0
LAG
48%
23%
29%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
LAG
1 - 2
GUA
43%
25%
32%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
LAG
1 - 1
SOC
44%
25%
30%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Itabaiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
SAO
2 - 0
ITA
66%
23%
11%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2016 |
ITA
0 - 1
SAO
21%
27%
52%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2016 |
ITA
2 - 0
CAM
23%
27%
50%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | +2 |
| 15 Aug. 2016 |
CAM
2 - 0
ITA
71%
19%
10%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
UNI
2 - 3
ITA
50%
26%
25%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |