Lagarto vs Estanciano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
51.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lagarto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
DOR
3 - 1
LAG
40%
24%
36%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
LAG
2 - 1
EST
28%
25%
47%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2015 |
SOC
1 - 1
LAG
44%
25%
32%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
CON
2 - 0
LAG
69%
20%
12%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
LAG
0 - 1
CON
23%
25%
52%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Estanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
EST
0 - 0
AMA
58%
21%
21%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
RIV
3 - 0
EST
51%
24%
25%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
EST
2 - 1
RIV
37%
26%
37%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
TRE
4 - 0
EST
57%
23%
20%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -2 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
EST
3 - 1
SER
51%
25%
24%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |