Lagarto vs Estanciano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
47.4%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lagarto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2015 |
SOC
1 - 1
LAG
44%
25%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
CON
2 - 0
LAG
69%
20%
12%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
LAG
0 - 1
CON
23%
25%
52%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
LAG
1 - 0
SOC
43%
26%
31%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
EST
2 - 0
LAG
59%
22%
19%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Estanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2015 |
EST
0 - 1
CON
36%
26%
39%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
SOC
1 - 2
EST
32%
25%
44%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
EST
0 - 0
SOC
61%
21%
18%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
CON
4 - 1
EST
56%
24%
21%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -2 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
EST
2 - 0
LAG
59%
22%
19%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +1 |