Lagarto vs Estanciano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
41.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lagarto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
ITA
2 - 2
LAG
48%
25%
27%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2015 |
LAG
0 - 1
CON
23%
24%
53%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
AMA
1 - 2
LAG
42%
24%
35%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
SOC
2 - 1
LAG
50%
24%
27%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2014 |
LAG
3 - 0
OSE
73%
18%
10%
|
32 | 11 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Estanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
EST
0 - 2
SOC
56%
24%
21%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2015 |
BOC
2 - 2
EST
27%
24%
49%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
EST
2 - 1
COR
73%
17%
10%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
CON
3 - 1
EST
55%
23%
22%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2014 |
EST
2 - 0
CON
32%
24%
44%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +2 |