Lagarto vs Confiança analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
51.3%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lagarto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
ITA
2 - 2
LAG
50%
25%
25%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
LAG
2 - 0
ADC
71%
18%
11%
|
49 | 21 | 28 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
OSE
1 - 3
LAG
14%
23%
63%
|
48 | 27 | 21 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
LAG
3 - 1
DOR
73%
18%
10%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
SER
0 - 0
LAG
61%
22%
17%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Confiança
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
CON
0 - 1
ITA
69%
20%
12%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
MUR
2 - 1
CON
15%
23%
63%
|
62 | 40 | 22 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
CON
4 - 0
ATG
78%
14%
8%
|
62 | 32 | 30 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
AME
1 - 2
CON
10%
18%
71%
|
62 | 32 | 30 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
SER
2 - 1
CON
29%
26%
45%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |