Lagarto vs Confiança analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
63.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lagarto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
LAG
1 - 0
ITA
35%
29%
36%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
LAG
3 - 0
BOC
53%
24%
22%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2019 |
CON
1 - 4
LAG
79%
15%
6%
|
33 | 53 | 20 | +2 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
GUA
2 - 2
LAG
37%
26%
37%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2019 |
LAG
2 - 1
SER
27%
26%
47%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Confiança
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
CON
2 - 2
AFP
78%
14%
8%
|
52 | 30 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2019 |
CON
2 - 2
VIT
14%
19%
67%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
DOR
1 - 0
CON
11%
17%
73%
|
52 | 34 | 18 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2019 |
FOR
4 - 0
CON
70%
19%
12%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2019 |
CON
1 - 4
LAG
79%
15%
6%
|
53 | 33 | 20 | 0 |