Lagarto vs Confiança analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
51.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lagarto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
LAG
1 - 0
SOC
43%
26%
31%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
EST
2 - 0
LAG
59%
22%
19%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
LAG
1 - 1
BOQ
56%
23%
21%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
EST
1 - 1
LAG
57%
22%
21%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
LAG
1 - 0
ITA
37%
26%
37%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Confiança
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
CON
4 - 1
EST
56%
24%
21%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
SOC
0 - 1
CON
27%
27%
46%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
CON
0 - 0
CEA
11%
20%
69%
|
45 | 69 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
SOC
1 - 1
CON
27%
27%
47%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
CON
2 - 2
SER
43%
27%
31%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |