Lagarto vs Confiança analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
52.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lagarto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
AMA
1 - 2
LAG
42%
24%
35%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
SOC
2 - 1
LAG
50%
24%
27%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2014 |
SAN
3 - 1
LAG
82%
13%
5%
|
33 | 63 | 30 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2014 |
LAG
3 - 0
OSE
73%
18%
10%
|
32 | 11 | 21 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
EST
2 - 1
LAG
56%
22%
22%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Confiança
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
CON
1 - 0
BOC
73%
18%
10%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
CON
1 - 1
TOM
36%
25%
39%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
TOM
1 - 0
CON
54%
24%
22%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
CON
0 - 0
JAC
56%
23%
21%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
JAC
0 - 2
CON
45%
25%
30%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |