Lagarto vs Confiança analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
52.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lagarto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
AMA
2 - 2
LAG
47%
24%
29%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
CDC
1 - 1
LAG
35%
24%
41%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2014 |
LAG
0 - 1
SAN
11%
19%
70%
|
31 | 63 | 32 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
LAG
0 - 1
COR
71%
18%
11%
|
32 | 15 | 17 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
LAG
1 - 0
SOC
36%
25%
38%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Confiança
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
CON
3 - 0
COR
73%
17%
10%
|
43 | 19 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
EST
2 - 3
CON
38%
25%
37%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
CON
3 - 0
OSE
75%
17%
8%
|
43 | 16 | 27 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
CON
2 - 0
ITA
58%
24%
18%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
SOC
4 - 2
CON
28%
25%
47%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | -2 |