Lagarto vs Boca Júnior FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
36.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lagarto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2017 |
AFP
0 - 0
LAG
55%
21%
24%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2017 |
EST
0 - 1
LAG
48%
25%
28%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
LAG
1 - 2
AMA
40%
24%
36%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2017 |
CON
4 - 1
LAG
79%
15%
6%
|
29 | 53 | 24 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
LAG
1 - 2
ABS
74%
16%
10%
|
30 | 6 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
Boca Júnior FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2017 |
BOC
1 - 0
DOR
33%
23%
44%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2017 |
SER
2 - 0
BOC
74%
17%
9%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
ITA
1 - 0
BOC
62%
23%
15%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
BOC
0 - 1
AFP
41%
23%
37%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
ABS
1 - 3
BOC
11%
17%
72%
|
32 | 7 | 25 | 0 |