Lagarto vs Botafogo ASF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.6%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.6%
7.8%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+140%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lagarto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
ABS
1 - 5
LAG
11%
18%
71%
|
28 | 7 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
LAG
0 - 0
DOR
30%
23%
48%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
EST
2 - 1
LAG
49%
25%
26%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
LAG
0 - 2
BOC
37%
26%
37%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2017 |
AFP
0 - 0
LAG
55%
21%
24%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo ASF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
ABS
1 - 5
LAG
11%
18%
71%
|
7 | 28 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
ABS
0 - 2
EST
10%
16%
75%
|
7 | 32 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
DOR
4 - 0
ABS
78%
14%
8%
|
7 | 34 | 27 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
AMA
1 - 0
ABS
78%
14%
9%
|
8 | 33 | 25 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
ABS
0 - 4
SER
11%
18%
71%
|
9 | 46 | 37 | -1 |