Lagarto vs Botafogo ASF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.8%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.1%
10%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+140%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lagarto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
LAG
1 - 3
SER
25%
27%
49%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
DOR
0 - 0
LAG
52%
22%
26%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
LAG
0 - 1
ITA
31%
27%
42%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
LAG
4 - 0
AMA
40%
24%
36%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +2 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
SOC
0 - 3
LAG
46%
24%
30%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Botafogo ASF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
ABS
1 - 3
EST
9%
15%
75%
|
7 | 34 | 27 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2017 |
CON
3 - 0
ABS
84%
12%
4%
|
8 | 55 | 47 | -1 |