Lagarto vs Atlético Gloriense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
19.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lagarto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
LAG
1 - 1
FFC
46%
24%
30%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
AME
1 - 2
LAG
20%
22%
58%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
CON
2 - 0
LAG
70%
19%
11%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
LAG
0 - 0
CON
20%
26%
53%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
LAG
2 - 0
ATG
58%
22%
20%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Gloriense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
ADC
1 - 0
ATG
18%
19%
63%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
ATG
1 - 4
SER
16%
21%
64%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
LAG
2 - 0
ATG
58%
22%
20%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
ATG
1 - 0
LAG
18%
22%
60%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | +3 |
| 16 Mar. 2023 |
ATG
1 - 0
ITA
15%
21%
64%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | +3 |