Sergipano Playoffs Final
Global 2-1
Lagarto vs Atlético Gloriense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
20%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lagarto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
ATG
1 - 0
LAG
18%
22%
60%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2023 |
LAG
2 - 2
SER
35%
28%
37%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
CON
2 - 0
LAG
68%
20%
12%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
LAG
4 - 0
AFP
75%
17%
9%
|
49 | 27 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
ITA
1 - 0
LAG
38%
27%
35%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético Gloriense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
ATG
1 - 0
LAG
18%
22%
60%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2023 |
ATG
1 - 0
ITA
15%
21%
64%
|
31 | 48 | 17 | +3 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
DOR
0 - 0
ATG
31%
23%
46%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
AME
0 - 0
ATG
39%
22%
39%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2023 |
ATG
0 - 0
SER
14%
21%
65%
|
30 | 51 | 21 | +1 |