Lagarto vs Atlético Gloriense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
23.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lagarto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
AFP
0 - 1
LAG
29%
24%
47%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
LAG
2 - 2
SER
28%
26%
47%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
AMP
0 - 3
LAG
16%
20%
64%
|
38 | 13 | 25 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
LAG
0 - 2
ITA
36%
27%
37%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
ATG
0 - 2
LAG
28%
23%
49%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Gloriense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
ATG
1 - 1
CON
6%
13%
80%
|
26 | 59 | 33 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
ATG
0 - 0
BOC
28%
22%
50%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
DOR
2 - 3
ATG
53%
22%
25%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2021 |
MAR
5 - 3
ATG
46%
22%
33%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
ATG
0 - 2
LAG
28%
23%
49%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | -2 |