Lagarto vs América SE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.3%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
11.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lagarto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
LAG
4 - 1
DOR
73%
18%
10%
|
49 | 31 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
EST
1 - 4
LAG
12%
22%
66%
|
49 | 24 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
LAG
1 - 0
FFC
66%
20%
14%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
ATG
0 - 0
LAG
13%
20%
67%
|
49 | 30 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
AFC
2 - 1
LAG
34%
27%
39%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
América SE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
AME
2 - 2
ITA
15%
20%
65%
|
29 | 48 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2023 |
SER
2 - 0
AME
74%
16%
10%
|
29 | 48 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
AFP
0 - 0
AME
33%
23%
44%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
AME
0 - 3
CON
11%
18%
71%
|
30 | 62 | 32 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 1
AME
22%
20%
58%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | +1 |