Lagarto vs América SE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
27.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lagarto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
AFP
0 - 2
LAG
23%
23%
54%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
SER
2 - 1
LAG
55%
24%
22%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2022 |
LAG
0 - 0
FFL
12%
23%
65%
|
39 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2022 |
LAG
2 - 2
ATG
54%
22%
24%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2022 |
AME
0 - 1
LAG
32%
23%
44%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
América SE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
AME
0 - 4
CON
8%
16%
75%
|
30 | 61 | 31 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
BOC
1 - 1
AME
35%
23%
42%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
AME
6 - 0
MAR
56%
21%
23%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2022 |
AME
0 - 1
LAG
32%
23%
44%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
FFC
4 - 1
AME
27%
22%
51%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | -2 |