Lagarto vs Amadense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
36.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lagarto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2017 |
CON
4 - 1
LAG
79%
15%
6%
|
29 | 53 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2017 |
LAG
1 - 2
ABS
74%
16%
10%
|
30 | 6 | 24 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
LAG
1 - 3
SER
25%
27%
49%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | -2 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
DOR
0 - 0
LAG
52%
22%
26%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
LAG
0 - 1
ITA
31%
27%
42%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Amadense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
AMA
1 - 0
EST
36%
23%
42%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2017 |
AMA
0 - 4
ITA
25%
26%
50%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | -3 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
BOC
1 - 0
AMA
45%
23%
33%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
AMA
1 - 1
SER
21%
23%
56%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2017 |
AFP
2 - 2
AMA
54%
21%
25%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +1 |