Lagarto vs Amadense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
35.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lagarto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
SOC
0 - 3
LAG
46%
24%
30%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 0
LAG
48%
23%
29%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
LAG
1 - 2
GUA
43%
25%
32%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -2 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
LAG
1 - 1
SOC
44%
25%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
AMA
1 - 1
LAG
44%
24%
33%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Amadense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
AMA
1 - 0
GUA
46%
24%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
SOC
3 - 0
AMA
36%
24%
40%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
AMA
4 - 0
SOC
47%
24%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 2
AMA
46%
23%
30%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +2 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
AMA
1 - 1
LAG
44%
24%
33%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |