Lagarto vs Amadense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
36.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lagarto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
SOC
1 - 1
LAG
42%
24%
34%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
LAG
1 - 2
ITA
38%
26%
36%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2016 |
LAG
0 - 1
EST
25%
23%
52%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
DOR
3 - 1
LAG
40%
24%
36%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
LAG
2 - 1
EST
28%
25%
47%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Amadense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
AMA
1 - 3
CON
16%
22%
63%
|
32 | 55 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
AMA
0 - 3
DOR
47%
23%
31%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -2 |
| 28 Jan. 2016 |
AMA
1 - 0
ITA
41%
25%
35%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
EST
0 - 0
AMA
58%
21%
21%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2015 |
CRB
1 - 0
AMA
75%
17%
9%
|
32 | 56 | 24 | 0 |