Lagarto vs Amadense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
26.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lagarto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
BOQ
1 - 1
LAG
22%
22%
56%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
LAG
1 - 0
EST
34%
25%
42%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
ITA
2 - 2
LAG
48%
25%
27%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2015 |
LAG
0 - 1
CON
23%
24%
53%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
AMA
1 - 2
LAG
42%
24%
35%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Amadense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2015 |
AMA
1 - 2
CRB
17%
22%
61%
|
28 | 57 | 29 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
AMA
5 - 1
COR
68%
19%
14%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
SOC
2 - 0
AMA
57%
22%
21%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2015 |
AMA
1 - 0
BOC
44%
24%
32%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2015 |
SER
2 - 1
AMA
78%
14%
7%
|
28 | 48 | 20 | -1 |