Lagarto vs Amadense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
20.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lagarto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2014 |
EST
2 - 1
LAG
55%
23%
23%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
LAG
0 - 1
EST
39%
25%
36%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2014 |
AMA
1 - 1
LAG
26%
24%
50%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
LAG
3 - 0
OSE
49%
24%
27%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +2 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
LAG
1 - 0
CON
22%
24%
54%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | +2 |
Matches
Amadense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2014 |
OSE
0 - 3
AMA
52%
23%
25%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
AMA
3 - 0
OSE
34%
25%
42%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | +3 |
| 16 Jan. 2014 |
AMA
1 - 1
LAG
26%
24%
50%
|
19 | 36 | 17 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
EST
2 - 1
AMA
68%
19%
13%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2007 |
AMA
1 - 2
GUA
36%
25%
39%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | -5 |