Lagarto vs Frei Paulistano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.6%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
8.6%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lagarto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
ITA
1 - 0
LAG
38%
27%
35%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
LAG
2 - 0
AME
70%
18%
12%
|
48 | 29 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
LAG
4 - 1
DOR
73%
18%
10%
|
48 | 30 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
EST
1 - 4
LAG
12%
22%
66%
|
48 | 23 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
LAG
1 - 0
FFC
66%
20%
14%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Frei Paulistano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
AFP
0 - 1
CON
7%
19%
74%
|
25 | 60 | 35 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
DOR
1 - 0
AFP
39%
24%
38%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2023 |
SER
1 - 0
AFP
76%
16%
8%
|
26 | 49 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
AFP
1 - 2
ATG
28%
22%
50%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
AFP
0 - 0
AME
33%
23%
44%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |