Lagarto vs Guarany SE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
32.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lagarto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
LAG
1 - 1
SOC
44%
25%
30%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
AMA
1 - 1
LAG
44%
24%
33%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
LAG
2 - 2
CON
13%
22%
65%
|
30 | 52 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
BOC
2 - 1
LAG
44%
24%
33%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
SER
2 - 1
LAG
77%
15%
8%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Guarany SE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 2
AMA
46%
23%
30%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
SOC
1 - 1
GUA
43%
26%
30%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 1
ITA
32%
27%
41%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
EST
1 - 1
GUA
60%
22%
18%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
DOR
0 - 0
GUA
55%
22%
23%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |