Lafayette vs Colgate Raiders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85%
Win probability
2.99
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.5%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.1%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.9%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.4%
4.6%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lafayette
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
NMP
3 - 2
LFL
33%
22%
45%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
LFL
1 - 0
BUA
72%
16%
12%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
LFL
0 - 0
BBS
82%
12%
6%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
LFL
1 - 2
AUE
58%
20%
22%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
LFL
2 - 1
HLC
68%
17%
15%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Colgate Raiders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
HLC
3 - 1
CRS
84%
11%
6%
|
15 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
CRS
0 - 3
NMP
15%
18%
67%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
AWP
3 - 0
CRS
68%
17%
15%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
BBS
0 - 0
CRS
64%
18%
18%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
AWP
0 - 1
CRS
77%
14%
9%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | +1 |