Lafayette vs American Eagles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.8%
22.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lafayette
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
LFL
2 - 1
HLC
68%
17%
15%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2021 |
LFL
3 - 0
LMH
87%
9%
4%
|
34 | 16 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
AWP
1 - 2
LFL
18%
19%
63%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
BUA
2 - 3
LFL
25%
21%
54%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
LFL
2 - 1
CRS
87%
9%
4%
|
33 | 15 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
American Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
LYM
2 - 3
AUE
46%
22%
32%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
AUE
1 - 1
NMP
53%
21%
26%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
AUE
1 - 1
LYM
57%
20%
23%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
LYM
1 - 2
AUE
45%
22%
33%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
BBS
2 - 1
AUE
17%
19%
65%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | 0 |