Lae City vs Henderson Eels analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.3%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.4%
56.6%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
5.2%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
3.1%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lae City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
TOT
6 - 1
SMF
84%
11%
6%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
FCB
2 - 3
TOT
33%
25%
42%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
TOT
1 - 2
VIT
55%
23%
23%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
MOR
1 - 3
TOT
26%
24%
50%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
FCM
1 - 5
TOT
21%
20%
59%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Henderson Eels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
REA
0 - 19
HEE
5%
9%
86%
|
47 | 16 | 31 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2019 |
LAU
2 - 3
HEE
16%
19%
65%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
HEE
2 - 2
SOL
27%
20%
53%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
HEE
0 - 1
ISA
77%
14%
9%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
MAL
2 - 9
HEE
16%
20%
65%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | +1 |