Lada Tolyatti vs Dinamo Barnaul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
42.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+64%
-64%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
6º
14º
9º
27
7º
14º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 22 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 19 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lada Tolyatti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
NOS
2 - 0
LAD
38%
23%
39%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
LAD
2 - 1
KAZ
48%
21%
31%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
VNO
1 - 2
LAD
62%
18%
20%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
UNT
2 - 0
LAD
68%
16%
15%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
LAD
5 - 0
ORE
35%
23%
42%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | +3 |
Matches
Dinamo Barnaul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
DIN
1 - 0
ORE
58%
22%
20%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
FKA
2 - 0
DIN
19%
19%
62%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | -2 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
DIN
0 - 3
URA
49%
24%
27%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -2 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
DIN
5 - 0
DIN
34%
23%
43%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -2 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
DIN
2 - 0
RKZ
69%
18%
13%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | +1 |