Esiliiga B Playoffs Promotion Final
Global 6-5
Läänemaa Haapsalu vs Johvi Phoenix analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.2%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
14.4%
19%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
3.6%
4-4
1%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
19%
51.8%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
5.7%
3-4
2.2%
4-5
0.5%
5-6
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
3.6%
3-5
1.1%
4-6
0.2%
5-7
0%
-2
15%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
1.8%
3-6
0.5%
4-7
0.1%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.2%
4-8
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Läänemaa Haapsalu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
JFP
3 - 0
LAH
52%
20%
28%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
LAH
2 - 3
FAT
16%
19%
66%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
JKN
7 - 1
LAH
81%
13%
6%
|
30 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2023 |
LAH
1 - 2
TUL
27%
22%
51%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
NOM
1 - 6
LAH
76%
13%
11%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | +3 |
Matches
Johvi Phoenix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
JFP
3 - 0
LAH
52%
20%
28%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2023 |
SSP
2 - 5
JFP
28%
20%
52%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
JFP
6 - 1
SSP
59%
19%
22%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
JFP
1 - 3
VJK
50%
23%
27%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
TJK
1 - 3
JFP
50%
22%
28%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +2 |