La Tour / Le Pâquier vs FC Courtetelle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.3%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.3%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
47.2%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
3º
13º
11º
63
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
63 | 66 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 48 |
4º
|
84.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
5º
|
28% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 45 |
6º
|
15% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 45 |
7º
|
27% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 44 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 44 |
9º
|
25.5% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 43 |
10º
|
64.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
37 | 40 |
11º
|
82% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 36 |
12º
|
91% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 30 |
13º
|
80% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 25 |
14º
|
71.5% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 20 |
15º
|
53% | |
|
15º
|
13 | 14 |
16º
|
77.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Tour / Le Pâquier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
FCE
0 - 0
TPA
65%
18%
18%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
TPA
1 - 1
MAT
76%
14%
10%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
FCP
1 - 3
TPA
54%
21%
25%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
TPA
1 - 0
ROM
59%
20%
21%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
FRI
1 - 2
TPA
51%
21%
28%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
FC Courtetelle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
MAT
0 - 3
FCC
15%
18%
67%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
FCC
0 - 0
ROM
77%
14%
9%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
BBB
1 - 2
FCC
60%
19%
21%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
FCC
3 - 0
FCA
30%
23%
47%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +3 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
GUM
1 - 1
FCC
36%
22%
42%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |