La Tour / Le Pâquier vs Ajoie-Monterri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
48.6%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-37%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
3º
13º
11º
45
4º
11º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 66 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
45 | 48 |
4º
|
84.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
5º
|
28% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 45 |
6º
|
15% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 45 |
7º
|
27% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 44 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 44 |
9º
|
25.5% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 43 |
10º
|
64.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
37 | 40 |
11º
|
82% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 36 |
12º
|
91% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 30 |
13º
|
80% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 25 |
14º
|
71.5% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 20 |
15º
|
53% | |
|
15º
|
13 | 14 |
16º
|
77.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Tour / Le Pâquier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
TAV
1 - 2
TPA
55%
22%
24%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2022 |
TPA
4 - 2
FCS
84%
11%
6%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
SIE
1 - 2
TPA
16%
19%
65%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
TPA
1 - 5
POR
36%
23%
41%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
FRI
1 - 1
TPA
49%
21%
29%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Ajoie-Monterri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
GUM
2 - 2
FCA
19%
21%
60%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
FCA
1 - 2
CON
47%
22%
31%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
FCA
2 - 0
DOR
35%
23%
42%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +2 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
OLD
4 - 1
FCA
47%
22%
31%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -2 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
FCA
1 - 1
TAV
74%
16%
10%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |