La Roca vs Ciudad Villanueva Fresno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.2%
20.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-71%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Roca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
VRE
5 - 0
ROC
73%
16%
11%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
ROC
2 - 2
ALC
64%
17%
19%
|
9 | 6 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
PVA
2 - 0
ROC
70%
17%
13%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
ALC
2 - 1
ROC
16%
18%
66%
|
10 | 5 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
ROC
0 - 4
VRE
37%
23%
40%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ciudad Villanueva Fresno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
FPB
4 - 0
VFR
59%
19%
22%
|
5 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
VRE
5 - 0
VFR
80%
12%
8%
|
6 | 13 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
VFR
1 - 1
OBA
13%
17%
71%
|
5 | 12 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
SFO
5 - 0
VFR
49%
20%
31%
|
5 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
PVA
7 - 0
VFR
81%
12%
7%
|
5 | 12 | 7 | 0 |