La Mosca Sub 19 vs Mijas Las Lagunas U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.1%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
6%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.3%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.9%
10%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+342%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
3º
12º
4º
28
3º
11º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 67 |
1º
|
83% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 58 |
2º
|
28% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 57 |
3º
|
32% | |
|
|
5º
|
32 | 55 |
4º
|
23.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 52 |
5º
|
30% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 46 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 45 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
|
8º
|
28 | 45 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 43 |
9º
|
19% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 40 |
10º
|
16% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 34 |
11º
|
11.5% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 32 |
12º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 32 |
13º
|
17.5% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 31 |
14º
|
18.5% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 30 |
15º
|
30% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 8 |
16º
|
99.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
22% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
78% | 96% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 3.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Mosca Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
REA
3 - 2
LAM
14%
17%
69%
|
15 | 6 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
LAM
3 - 1
GRA
51%
21%
28%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
LAM
3 - 2
PAV
68%
17%
15%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
CFR
2 - 2
LAM
19%
19%
62%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
LAM
1 - 4
UDM
46%
23%
31%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Mijas Las Lagunas U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
LAS
0 - 1
MCF
12%
17%
71%
|
8 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 2
LAS
73%
15%
12%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | +1 |