La Mosca Sub 19 vs Granada CF U 19 B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
27.9%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+340%
-39%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
2º
4º
2º
3
5º
13º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
6 | 71 |
1º
|
70% | |
|
|
6º
|
3 | 59 |
2º
|
22% | |
|
1º
|
6 | 56 |
3º
|
14% | |
|
2º
|
6 | 54 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
3 | 53 |
5º
|
8% | |
|
|
5º
|
3 | 45 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
4º
|
3 | 42 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 42 |
8º
|
7.5% | |
|
8º
|
3 | 41 |
9º
|
10.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 33 |
10º
|
7.5% | |
|
11º
|
1 | 33 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
3 | 33 |
12º
|
7.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 30 |
13º
|
8% | |
|
13º
|
0 | 29 |
14º
|
9% | |
|
12º
|
1 | 28 |
15º
|
12% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 26 |
16º
|
26% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
30% | 4% |
|
Mid-table
|
70% | 85% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 11% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Mosca Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
LAM
3 - 2
PAV
68%
17%
15%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
CFR
2 - 2
LAM
19%
19%
62%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
LAM
1 - 4
UDM
46%
23%
31%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
LAM
2 - 0
UCD
68%
17%
15%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
CDO
2 - 1
LAM
10%
15%
75%
|
16 | 6 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Granada CF U 19 B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
GRA
1 - 0
ATA
63%
20%
17%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
CDV
4 - 1
GRA
60%
21%
20%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
GRA
1 - 2
ELE
74%
16%
10%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
PAV
2 - 2
GRA
18%
20%
62%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
GRA
5 - 0
CFR
55%
21%
24%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |