La Mosca Sub 19 vs CD Oriente Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.3%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.6%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.5%
9.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+204%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
1º
12º
4º
18
10º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
66 | 66 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
18 | 18 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Mosca Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
GRA
1 - 3
LAM
51%
21%
28%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
LAM
4 - 0
SAN
58%
20%
23%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
MAL
3 - 3
LAM
71%
16%
13%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
LAM
5 - 1
UDA
10%
14%
76%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | +2 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
HIS
1 - 1
LAM
34%
22%
45%
|
9 | 6 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
CD Oriente Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
CDO
1 - 0
UCD
24%
20%
56%
|
6 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
UDM
3 - 2
CDO
72%
16%
12%
|
6 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
GRA
1 - 0
CDO
83%
11%
6%
|
6 | 15 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
CDO
1 - 4
SAN
34%
22%
44%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
MAL
3 - 0
CDO
84%
11%
6%
|
8 | 16 | 8 | -1 |