La Mosca Sub 19 vs Atarfe Industrial U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
16.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
3º
12º
4º
17
10º
15º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 67 |
1º
|
83% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 58 |
2º
|
28% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 57 |
3º
|
32% | |
|
|
5º
|
32 | 55 |
4º
|
23.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 52 |
5º
|
30% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 46 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 45 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 45 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 43 |
9º
|
19% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 40 |
10º
|
16% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 34 |
11º
|
11.5% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 32 |
12º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 32 |
13º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
17 | 31 |
14º
|
18.5% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 30 |
15º
|
30% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 8 |
16º
|
99.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
22% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
78% | 41% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 59% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Mosca Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
AME
0 - 5
LAM
18%
18%
64%
|
13 | 5 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
LAM
0 - 2
LAS
76%
14%
10%
|
14 | 8 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
REA
3 - 2
LAM
14%
17%
69%
|
15 | 6 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
LAM
3 - 1
GRA
51%
21%
28%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
LAM
3 - 2
PAV
68%
17%
15%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Atarfe Industrial U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
ATA
0 - 2
MCF
11%
17%
72%
|
11 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 3
ATA
66%
19%
15%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | +2 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ATA
1 - 3
ARE
43%
22%
35%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
UDA
2 - 1
ATA
72%
16%
12%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
GRA
1 - 0
ATA
63%
20%
17%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |