La Massana vs FC Santa Coloma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.7%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.2%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
67.4%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
9º
10º
9º
30
2º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
32 | 56 |
1º
|
56.5% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 52 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
30 | 51 |
3º
|
24.5% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 48 |
4º
|
33.5% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 45 |
5º
|
34.5% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 37 |
6º
|
58.5% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 32 |
7º
|
39% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 32 |
8º
|
45% | |
|
|
9º
|
5 | 13 |
9º
|
61.5% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 10 |
10º
|
62% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 20% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 28.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0.5% | 51.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
61.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
38% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Massana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2024 |
LAM
3 - 0
ESA
55%
19%
26%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
FCO
2 - 1
LAM
71%
16%
13%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
LAM
0 - 4
FCR
14%
17%
69%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
UES
5 - 0
LAM
69%
19%
12%
|
37 | 64 | 27 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
LAM
0 - 3
FCO
25%
23%
52%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
FC Santa Coloma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
FCO
0 - 1
SCO
17%
23%
61%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
ATL
0 - 0
SCO
47%
24%
29%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
SCO
3 - 1
FCO
68%
20%
12%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
PAC
2 - 0
SCO
29%
25%
46%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
ESA
0 - 2
SCO
19%
22%
59%
|
66 | 35 | 31 | 0 |