La Massana vs Penya Encarnada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.3%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.9%
17%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
69.5%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
9º
10º
9º
12
4º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
32 | 56 |
1º
|
53% | |
|
1º
|
33 | 53 |
2º
|
33.5% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 52 |
3º
|
30% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 46 |
4º
|
36% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 44 |
5º
|
46.5% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 37 |
6º
|
54% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 32 |
7º
|
43% | |
|
|
8º
|
12 | 30 |
8º
|
50% | |
|
|
9º
|
5 | 13 |
9º
|
61% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 10 |
10º
|
62% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
1% | 98.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
61% | 1.5% |
|
Relegation
|
38% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Massana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
INT
9 - 0
LAM
81%
13%
5%
|
37 | 71 | 34 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
LAM
0 - 4
SCO
13%
20%
67%
|
37 | 66 | 29 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2024 |
LAM
3 - 0
ESA
55%
19%
26%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +2 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
FCO
2 - 1
LAM
71%
16%
13%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
LAM
0 - 4
FCR
14%
17%
69%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Penya Encarnada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
FCO
0 - 1
PEN
35%
23%
42%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
INT
6 - 0
PEN
72%
16%
12%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
ATL
6 - 1
PEN
68%
19%
13%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
PEN
0 - 0
FCR
44%
23%
33%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
UES
2 - 0
PEN
56%
24%
20%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | -1 |