La Massana vs Penya Encarnada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.2%
18%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
65.9%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Massana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
INT
6 - 1
LAM
79%
14%
7%
|
39 | 68 | 29 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
LAM
4 - 1
AEB
80%
12%
8%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
FCR
2 - 0
LAM
32%
21%
48%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | -2 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
FCR
1 - 0
LAM
19%
18%
63%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
LAM
8 - 1
FCS
86%
9%
5%
|
42 | 21 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Penya Encarnada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2024 |
PEN
1 - 3
INT
21%
23%
56%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 2
PEN
12%
17%
71%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
PEN
3 - 2
ESA
72%
16%
13%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
AME
1 - 4
PEN
14%
18%
69%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
PEN
2 - 4
SCO
24%
24%
52%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | -1 |