La Luz FC vs Juventud analysis

La Luz FC Juventud
74 ELO 72
-2.3% Tilt -5%
846º General ELO ranking 823º
23º Country ELO ranking 21º
ELO win probability
50.6%
La Luz FC
26%
Draw
23.4%
Juventud

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
La Luz FC
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
23.4%
Win probability
Juventud
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
La Luz FC
-12%
+2%
Juventud

Points and table prediction

La Luz FC
Their league position
Juventud
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
10º
11º
13
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Montevideo City Torque
14
14
100%
Juventud
13
13
100%
Oriental
12
12
100%
Albion FC
11
11
100%
Tacuarembó FC
10
10
100%
Rentistas
10
10
100%
Colón FC
8
8
0%
Plaza Colonia
8
8
0%
Cerrito
7
7
100%
Uruguay Montevideo
10º
6
6
10º
0%
La Luz FC
11º
6
6
11º
0%
CSyD Cooper
12º
5
5
12º
100%
Atenas
13º
3
3
13º
100%
Sud América
14º
3
3
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
La Luz FC
Juventud
Final Series
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

La Luz FC
Juventud
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

La Luz FC
La Luz FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Apr. 2024
ORI
Oriental
0 - 1
La Luz FC
LUZ
40%
27%
33%
73 69 4 0
31 Mar. 2024
LUZ
La Luz FC
0 - 2
Albion FC
ALB
53%
25%
22%
74 69 5 -1
23 Mar. 2024
TAC
Tacuarembó FC
1 - 0
La Luz FC
LUZ
36%
28%
36%
74 70 4 0
17 Mar. 2024
LUZ
La Luz FC
1 - 0
Uruguay Montevideo
UMO
45%
27%
29%
73 74 1 +1
20 Feb. 2024
LUZ
La Luz FC
0 - 1
Danubio
DAN
41%
26%
33%
74 79 5 -1

Matches

Juventud
Juventud
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Mar. 2024
JUV
Juventud
4 - 2
Oriental
ORI
41%
28%
30%
71 69 2 0
24 Mar. 2024
ALB
Albion FC
1 - 1
Juventud
JUV
46%
26%
27%
70 69 1 +1
16 Mar. 2024
JUV
Juventud
0 - 2
Tacuarembó FC
TAC
42%
28%
30%
71 69 2 -1
27 Jan. 2024
JUV
Juventud
0 - 0
Rampla Juniors
JUN
32%
28%
40%
71 75 4 0
23 Jan. 2024
JUN
Rampla Juniors
2 - 1
Juventud
JUV
53%
26%
21%
71 75 4 0
X