La Luz FC vs Danubio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
32.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Luz FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2023 |
LUZ
0 - 2
FEN
48%
26%
26%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
DAN
2 - 1
LUZ
40%
28%
32%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2023 |
LUZ
0 - 1
NAC
35%
27%
39%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
RIV
1 - 0
LUZ
52%
25%
24%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
DEP
1 - 0
LUZ
39%
27%
33%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Danubio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
FEN
1 - 2
DAN
37%
28%
35%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2023 |
DEF
0 - 2
DAN
58%
23%
19%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
DAN
2 - 1
LUZ
40%
28%
32%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2023 |
MWA
3 - 0
DAN
43%
27%
30%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
DAN
0 - 0
FEN
47%
28%
26%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |