La Luz FC vs Atenas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
17%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
7º
14º
9º
20
9º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
36 | 50 |
1º
|
57.5% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 47 |
2º
|
34.5% | |
|
2º
|
34 | 45 |
3º
|
35.5% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 41 |
4º
|
38% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 35 |
5º
|
21.5% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 35 |
6º
|
17% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 34 |
7º
|
23.5% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 34 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
20 | 31 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 31 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 31 |
11º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
20 | 28 |
12º
|
16% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 27 |
13º
|
24% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 25 |
14º
|
46% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
17% | 4.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
83% | 95.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Luz FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
LUZ
1 - 0
UMO
39%
27%
33%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
REN
1 - 1
LUZ
38%
29%
33%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
LUZ
1 - 2
CSC
67%
21%
12%
|
74 | 48 | 26 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
TAC
0 - 1
LUZ
42%
28%
31%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2024 |
LUZ
2 - 1
PLA
40%
27%
33%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Atenas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
ATE
1 - 0
CSC
40%
28%
32%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
UMO
1 - 1
ATE
64%
23%
14%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
ATE
1 - 3
JUV
34%
29%
37%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
REN
2 - 0
ATE
48%
28%
24%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2024 |
ATE
1 - 0
TOR
17%
25%
58%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | +1 |