Lorca FC B vs Estudiantes Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.2%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.3%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.1%
10.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorca FC B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
UCA
2 - 1
LFC
27%
24%
50%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
LFC
3 - 1
MUL
79%
14%
7%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
MAR
3 - 0
LFC
37%
25%
38%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -2 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
LAU
1 - 3
LFC
21%
23%
56%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
LFC
2 - 0
PIN
76%
15%
10%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Estudiantes Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
NUE
3 - 1
LAU
50%
22%
28%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
PIN
1 - 0
NUE
50%
22%
28%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
NUE
2 - 2
AGU
19%
21%
61%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
CIE
2 - 1
NUE
43%
22%
35%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
NUE
4 - 1
BAL
66%
18%
16%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |