La Gauloise vs Somerset Trojans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
34.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+95%
-66%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Gauloise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
LAG
2 - 4
CSM
52%
25%
23%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
ARS
1 - 1
LAG
47%
23%
30%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
LAG
1 - 1
SSC
49%
23%
28%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
LAG
3 - 2
GOU
49%
23%
28%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
AMG
1 - 3
LAG
42%
27%
31%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Somerset Trojans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2016 |
DON
5 - 0
SOM
77%
16%
7%
|
30 | 58 | 28 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
SOU
1 - 1
SOM
44%
24%
33%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
SOM
2 - 2
NOR
45%
24%
31%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
DEV
3 - 5
SOM
44%
22%
34%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
SOM
2 - 2
BOU
48%
24%
28%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |