Ventura County vs Tacoma Defiance analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
59.7%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ventura County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2024 |
VAN
1 - 0
LAG
39%
23%
39%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
LAG
2 - 0
MON
59%
21%
20%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
MIN
1 - 0
LAG
53%
21%
25%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
AFC
2 - 2
LAG
46%
23%
31%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
LAG
1 - 1
SPK
26%
24%
50%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Tacoma Defiance
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2024 |
HOU
2 - 3
TAC
35%
27%
38%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
MIN
3 - 1
TAC
29%
26%
45%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
POR
4 - 1
TAC
17%
22%
61%
|
61 | 42 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
TAC
3 - 2
SAN
59%
23%
19%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2024 |
TAC
0 - 0
VAN
80%
13%
6%
|
61 | 42 | 19 | 0 |