Ventura County vs Tacoma Defiance analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
13.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ventura County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2019 |
LAG
2 - 2
ORA
30%
24%
46%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
RGV
2 - 2
LAG
47%
25%
29%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2019 |
LAG
0 - 3
FFC
38%
24%
38%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
LAG
1 - 0
AUB
36%
24%
40%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2019 |
LAG
0 - 0
LVG
64%
19%
18%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Tacoma Defiance
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2019 |
TAC
3 - 3
FFC
20%
24%
57%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
TAC
1 - 1
REN
18%
22%
60%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
TAC
1 - 4
POR
32%
25%
43%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -2 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
OKC
2 - 1
TAC
61%
22%
18%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
USA
3 - 0
TAC
61%
21%
18%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -2 |