Ventura County vs Saint Louis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
21.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ventura County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
LAG
2 - 0
ARI
68%
19%
14%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
ROC
2 - 1
LAG
49%
27%
25%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -2 |
| 12 Oct. 2015 |
OKC
1 - 2
LAG
44%
26%
31%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
ORA
0 - 2
LAG
42%
25%
33%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
SAC
0 - 1
LAG
55%
23%
22%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Saint Louis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
MON
1 - 0
LOU
45%
25%
30%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
LOU
2 - 1
LOU
29%
25%
46%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
LOU
2 - 0
CHA
34%
26%
40%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2015 |
PNN
0 - 0
LOU
65%
19%
16%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
ROC
2 - 0
LOU
55%
25%
20%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | -1 |