Ventura County vs St. Louis II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
25%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
43.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ventura County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
POR
2 - 1
LAG
47%
21%
32%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2024 |
LAG
1 - 3
NOT
24%
25%
51%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2024 |
HOU
2 - 2
LAG
53%
23%
24%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
LAG
3 - 1
MON
52%
22%
26%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
TAC
2 - 2
LAG
76%
15%
9%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
St. Louis II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 0
STL
34%
27%
39%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
STL
2 - 2
MIN
62%
21%
17%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
COR
1 - 3
STL
37%
25%
38%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
STL
3 - 2
AFC
62%
22%
16%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
STL
4 - 0
NOT
46%
26%
29%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +2 |