Ventura County vs Rochester New York analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
23.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ventura County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
SAC
1 - 2
LAG
62%
22%
17%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2014 |
LAG
1 - 1
RIC
30%
27%
43%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2014 |
LAG
1 - 0
REA
58%
21%
21%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
LAG
3 - 3
WIL
52%
23%
25%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
OKC
0 - 1
LAG
48%
25%
27%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Rochester New York
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
ROC
2 - 0
WIL
36%
27%
37%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
PNN
1 - 4
ROC
64%
20%
16%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
ROC
2 - 2
PNN
33%
27%
40%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
CHA
3 - 1
ROC
56%
24%
20%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
CHA
2 - 1
ROC
57%
24%
19%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |